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Archive for the ‘key west deals’ Category

February 3rd, 2011

Property Investments in Dubai

Dubai is an urbane business and main shopping destination; this desert city offers all the latest technology and comforts. Developing at a rapid pace it is one of the leading holiday and tourist destinations in the world. Central to several continents it has an infusion of cultures that provide visitors with a unique and exciting experience. Although a compact city, it can offers the best in hotels, facilities, leisure activities and shopping opportunities and is a fashionable destination for corporate events due to its location and world class business environment. As one of the most desired property investment destinations in the world, any overseas buyers will achieve a high return.

Key points to consider if interested in property investment in Dubai are discussed below.

Dubai is one of the most modern, progressive and pro west Arabian states in Middle East. As tourism being the fastest growing industry here, tourism standards are high; every year the variety of activities and shopping attracts and pleases millions of visitors, last year Dubai hosted 4 million visitors alone. The amount of expected visitors for 2010 is estimated at over fifteen million and with the majority of hotels of a luxury standard with prices to match and nearly 100% full all year around, there is a high demand for alternative accommodation.

Due to Dubai’s perfect strategic position, it is recognized as the key trading centre for the Middle East and many global businesses set up their regional offices in the city. Many new developments offer high tech facilities for businesses, such as Dubai International Financial Centre, Internet City and Media City. Dubai is an ideal place for business as it is tax free and accessible to Central Asia, the Middle East, the Eastern Mediterranean, Africa and the Asian Subcontinent. Dubai is blessed with a perfect location to do business, tax free benefits is one of the reasons but also its proximity to Central Asia, the Middle East, the Eastern Mediterranean, Africa and the Asian Subcontinent. With a population more than 2 billion people located around in these large areas, these regions are potential business goldmines.

Ever since the government begun to allow foreign ownership of properties in particular areas of the city, overseas ownership has increased drastically. The government encourages overseas property investment by providing attractive deals to investors. Buying property can be up to 40% cheaper than renting, so buying a property might be a much more desirable option for investors.

With international companies establishing offices and businesses in Dubai, employment has risen, Dubai attracts trained professionals and expatriates for better employment prospects, a higher standard of living, tax free and high salaries. This fact has resulted in a long-term need for property.

Dubai government invested $40 billion dollars into the property market to try and supply the populations’ needs. Even with the ongoing construction projects, predictions are that it will be from 5 to ten years before the level of supply can be satisfied.

There are many developments in progress in Dubai, but demand for rentals in the business and residential areas are still not capable of being realised. Buy-to-let investors are getting high profits from high rental yields in addition to their already high expected investment growth.

Demand for property in Dubai is at its peak; with developers unable to supply the levels of demand property prices are high. Expatriates and other people in Dubai receiving high tax free salaries have an excellent opening to buy properties at low prices compared to properties in other countries. Low purchase and sales costs encourage overseas investors to Dubai and with banks providing mortgages to overseas buyers it makes more sense for investors to buy rather than rent. The population growth shows no signs of receding and Dubai property investors can be highly optimistic in future growth prospects for investment properties.

Mark Burns

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January 18th, 2011

Swimming Naked

The global liquidity crisis is still stress-testing the financial system and various institutions around the world continue to disclose one misdeed after another. As liquidity dries up, however, we find out who has been swimming naked, i.e. exposed to risk in a manner well beyond conventional standards. Some of these companies appear to be favored by legendary value investor Warren Buffett, which calls into question the basic assumption on Wall Street, namely that stocks eventually always go up. What if it’s different this time?

We know we are starting a recession, but we may also be at the inception of a new social, political and economic paradigm that will change the face of the world. An Age of Austerity and reduced expectations is likely in the West, but it may have some hidden benefits. We also speculate that the new economic order may be characterized by three billion individual investors seeking yield, not growth.

Detail

If you wanted to throw your lot in with the “Oracle of Omaha,” the world’s most watched investor, and decided to buy some Berkshire Hathaway shares last December you could have paid $150,000/share. Buffett has never split the stock, which was trading around $8 in 1962, and does not want to pander to short-term investors/traders. On Thursday (11/13) between 11:15 am and 2:30 pm ET shares of one of the best holding companies in the world could be had for less than $100,000/share, a 33% discount from peak. The shares had not traded at that level for two years.

Buffett has become the poster-person for responsible investing in an irresponsible age. He is also well known for not trying to time the market, but rather for taking advantage of market weakness and irrationality to scoop up shares of good companies at a discount.

Buy American?

On October 17, in the midst of one of the most harrowing months in global financial history, the Oracle made it clear in an Op Ed piece in the NY Times that he was buying the dip in the U.S. market and overweighting domestic shares in his personal portfolio due to the irrational pessimism that had depressed prices. Buffett was putting into practice his famous dictum, “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”

Previously, Buffett had no equities in that portfolio, only bonds, so the switch in asset allocation was doubly underscored. Moreover, Buffett, who once described himself as having been born “wired to allocate capital,” specifically mentioned that he preferred U.S. equities over international names.

Buffett personally, and strict value investors in general, have a well-deserved reputation for being the investors of last resort. It was the implicit endorsement by such a credible and fiscally conservative figure that led Goldman Sachs and General Electric to make well-publicized financing deals with Berkshire. Buffett purchased $5 billion of Goldman’s preferred stock yielding 10%, while paying $125/share. Buffett also bought $3 billion of General Electric’s 10% preferred shares at $22. Goldman has been cut in half since the deal was struck, while GE is off about 50%.

Meanwhile, some of Berkshires largest holdings are also in serious bear markets. The holding company has large positions in American Express (down 65%), CarMax (down 70%), Gannett (down 90%), Moodys (down 60%), and Wellpoint (down 60%). To be fair, Buffett would not consider a 1-month, 1-year or 5-year track record to be a sufficient time period over which to evaluate an investment strategy. For Warren, the current carnage is just emotionally driven noise. He understands Goldman and its franchise after running Solomon Brothers for a few years and we assume he has little doubt about GE’s wide moat and ability to compete effectively in a number of businesses going forward.

Nevertheless, Buffett’s endorsement was not sufficient to guarantee General Electric’s solvency. The company found it necessary to secure the temporary backing of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) for up to $139 billion due to liabilities in its finance division. Considering that all of GE has a market cap of $168 billion, there is presumed catastrophic risk to the solvency of the company from leveraged financial dealings.

Still, few doubt Buffett’s decision making for the long-term and we respect his value-driven approach. Buying value, even if temporarily unrewarding, is a proven long-term strategy. Buffett once said that his favorite holding period for a stock is “forever,” but that retort is not an absolute mandate. He regrets not selling into the 1990′s bubble and did sell his stake in PetroChina (PTR) after it quintupled.

Swimming Naked

Buffett’s value investing approach is sometimes used to justify a perennially bullish view of the equity market, however. One would-be pundit and Buffett-buff put it thusly, “The key measurement lies in performance comparative to the market. If, over time, you make more than the averages when the market is up and lose less when it is down, you have nothing to worry about long-term.” Really? If there were a dogma on Wall Street, this would be it. Put another way, “In the long run, markets always go up.”

We think it would be prudent to qualify the statement. For starters, we would ask, “Which market?” If you consider the Japanese Nikkei, it has been going down for 18 years. The country has not been in a depression, yet the nation’s stock market has continued to deflate. Adjusted for inflation, gold is about half its 1980 peak. Then there is the Saudi Arabian stock market, which peaked in March of 2006 at around 20,000 and was trading near 10,000 in May of this year when crude had more than doubled to $140/bbl. That does not appear to make much sense, but there it is. A lot goes into making a market and they do not necessarily eventually make higher highs.

The financial seas are churning… and paradigms are shifting along with them. At the very least, the social, political and economic outlook for the next three to five years has been materially altered by the global deleveraging process, which is unwinding the largest credit bubble in the history of the world. As liquidity dries up, we are finding out who has been swimming naked. Bear Stearns was among the first to be exposed, and makes a most suitable example for the metaphor, as the company was embarrassingly bare when it came to liquid assets.

The Coming Age of Austerity

Instead, we believe the market is headed for a period of austerity brought on by new regulatory requirements for increased transparency, accountability and frugality. We are entering a period of reduced expectations both economically and socially. Regulation will operate like a 55 mph speed limit on the economic highway, crimping profits in favor of a more stable economy. As a consumer society, we are not going to be immune from the Great Deleveraging, which is why Treasury Secretary Paulson is planning to allocate some of the Wall Street bailout money directly to Main Street.

As home prices fail to recover, a vast number of middle of the road retailers will go bankrupt, creating a more polarized consumer society than today, with Wal-Mart on one end of the barbell and Tiffany’s on the other. Municipalities will get leaner and public services we once took for granted will be more costly and less frequent or disappear altogether. Postage stamps, refuse collection fees, sales taxes and property taxes will become prohibitively expensive for some citizens. Renting will be preferable to property ownership in many municipalities, further depressing property values.

As the country turns inward to heal its wounds, an isolationist perspective will become dominant, reducing budgets for foreign aid and the military. A populist ethos will dominate the political scene, but credit will be hard to come by. Saving will become “cool,’ cash will be King and equities will be first disparaged and then shunned, as a sustained period of apathy overtakes Wall Street. Established social institutions, from private colleges to philanthropic foundations, will be challenged to survive and many will go extinct as funding dries up.

Unemployed brokers and bankers will enter law school in droves to partake in the Great Litigation process that devolves from the credit debacle, as company after company is held accountable for fraud, misrepresentation and fiduciary malfeasance. Standard & Poors will eventually be discredited and go bankrupt, taking McGraw Hill down with it, and the S&P 500 will be renamed to represent a new Standard for Wall Street. A new era of fixed-income investing will replace hedge-fund driven speculation. Funds will be rated on safety before historical gains are considered, as return of capital trumps return on capital.

And were we to speculate further on social changes, we see some interesting possibilities. For example…

Grass Roots Society

With growing stresses on entitlement programs, dispersed families may reaggregate, as children live with parents longer and grandparents are welcomed back into households as valued contributors to the familial security net. A new appreciation for more cost-effective, wellness and prevention-oriented natural medicine may become necessary to stem the rise of healthcare costs in an aging society.

Micro businesses may flourish as entrepreneurship is focused on local opportunities. Neighbors might know each other again, as a more grassroots economy reestablishes itself. Waste and conspicuous consumption may be less tolerable. Bicycles and scooters could replace cars in many cities, as speed limits are lowered to accommodate a more vulnerable and slower pace of life. Community gardens and farmer’s markets may become social hubs. We might see a greater sharing of local and personal resources rather than an emphasis on individual ownership, which would mirror the socialized institutional investments made by the government in various industries.

As our military is downsized and refocuses away from foreign interventions, soldiers might be deployed in dangerous neighborhoods to protect the citizenry and discourage organized street crime as neighborhoods rebuild. Meanwhile, drug dealing and prostitution might be decriminalized and licensed because the states simply cannot afford to prosecute and house so many criminals.

In Yield We Trust

On the investment horizon we imagine that global growth will resume at some point, but the epicenter will be located in nations other than our own. Fortunately, a 4G worldwide communication network will facilitate asset allocation to any market by any individual with an iPhone or a laptop anywhere on the planet 24/7. CDs denominated in foreign currencies will be commonplace, so individuals will be able to find safety and yield quite easily.

Governments and funds will compete globally on yield, generating massive capital flows from three billion small investors. Fees and commissions on most financial transactions will be nominal or waived entirely to facilitate the flow in a highly competitive environment where deposits and cash assets are highly prized.

For now, we have a rally in the market, as it bounces off the October lows. We once again recommend selling low-yield or non-yield stocks into the strength. We don’t know how long it will last or how far it will run, but we don’t think the bear market is over. Our forecast is for U.S. equity prices to be 40-50% lower in 12 months.

Weekly Publication by The Spear Report www.spearreport.com

Spear Report

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January 17th, 2011

Swimming Naked

The global liquidity crisis is still stress-testing the financial system and various institutions around the world continue to disclose one misdeed after another. As liquidity dries up, however, we find out who has been swimming naked, i.e. exposed to risk in a manner well beyond conventional standards. Some of these companies appear to be favored by legendary value investor Warren Buffett, which calls into question the basic assumption on Wall Street, namely that stocks eventually always go up. What if it’s different this time?

We know we are starting a recession, but we may also be at the inception of a new social, political and economic paradigm that will change the face of the world. An Age of Austerity and reduced expectations is likely in the West, but it may have some hidden benefits. We also speculate that the new economic order may be characterized by three billion individual investors seeking yield, not growth.

Detail

If you wanted to throw your lot in with the “Oracle of Omaha,” the world’s most watched investor, and decided to buy some Berkshire Hathaway shares last December you could have paid $150,000/share. Buffett has never split the stock, which was trading around $8 in 1962, and does not want to pander to short-term investors/traders. On Thursday (11/13) between 11:15 am and 2:30 pm ET shares of one of the best holding companies in the world could be had for less than $100,000/share, a 33% discount from peak. The shares had not traded at that level for two years.

Buffett has become the poster-person for responsible investing in an irresponsible age. He is also well known for not trying to time the market, but rather for taking advantage of market weakness and irrationality to scoop up shares of good companies at a discount.

Buy American?

On October 17, in the midst of one of the most harrowing months in global financial history, the Oracle made it clear in an Op Ed piece in the NY Times that he was buying the dip in the U.S. market and overweighting domestic shares in his personal portfolio due to the irrational pessimism that had depressed prices. Buffett was putting into practice his famous dictum, “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”

Previously, Buffett had no equities in that portfolio, only bonds, so the switch in asset allocation was doubly underscored. Moreover, Buffett, who once described himself as having been born “wired to allocate capital,” specifically mentioned that he preferred U.S. equities over international names.

Buffett personally, and strict value investors in general, have a well-deserved reputation for being the investors of last resort. It was the implicit endorsement by such a credible and fiscally conservative figure that led Goldman Sachs and General Electric to make well-publicized financing deals with Berkshire. Buffett purchased $5 billion of Goldman’s preferred stock yielding 10%, while paying $125/share. Buffett also bought $3 billion of General Electric’s 10% preferred shares at $22. Goldman has been cut in half since the deal was struck, while GE is off about 50%.

Meanwhile, some of Berkshires largest holdings are also in serious bear markets. The holding company has large positions in American Express (down 65%), CarMax (down 70%), Gannett (down 90%), Moodys (down 60%), and Wellpoint (down 60%). To be fair, Buffett would not consider a 1-month, 1-year or 5-year track record to be a sufficient time period over which to evaluate an investment strategy. For Warren, the current carnage is just emotionally driven noise. He understands Goldman and its franchise after running Solomon Brothers for a few years and we assume he has little doubt about GE’s wide moat and ability to compete effectively in a number of businesses going forward.

Nevertheless, Buffett’s endorsement was not sufficient to guarantee General Electric’s solvency. The company found it necessary to secure the temporary backing of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) for up to $139 billion due to liabilities in its finance division. Considering that all of GE has a market cap of $168 billion, there is presumed catastrophic risk to the solvency of the company from leveraged financial dealings.

Still, few doubt Buffett’s decision making for the long-term and we respect his value-driven approach. Buying value, even if temporarily unrewarding, is a proven long-term strategy. Buffett once said that his favorite holding period for a stock is “forever,” but that retort is not an absolute mandate. He regrets not selling into the 1990′s bubble and did sell his stake in PetroChina (PTR) after it quintupled.

Swimming Naked

Buffett’s value investing approach is sometimes used to justify a perennially bullish view of the equity market, however. One would-be pundit and Buffett-buff put it thusly, “The key measurement lies in performance comparative to the market. If, over time, you make more than the averages when the market is up and lose less when it is down, you have nothing to worry about long-term.” Really? If there were a dogma on Wall Street, this would be it. Put another way, “In the long run, markets always go up.”

We think it would be prudent to qualify the statement. For starters, we would ask, “Which market?” If you consider the Japanese Nikkei, it has been going down for 18 years. The country has not been in a depression, yet the nation’s stock market has continued to deflate. Adjusted for inflation, gold is about half its 1980 peak. Then there is the Saudi Arabian stock market, which peaked in March of 2006 at around 20,000 and was trading near 10,000 in May of this year when crude had more than doubled to $140/bbl. That does not appear to make much sense, but there it is. A lot goes into making a market and they do not necessarily eventually make higher highs.

The financial seas are churning… and paradigms are shifting along with them. At the very least, the social, political and economic outlook for the next three to five years has been materially altered by the global deleveraging process, which is unwinding the largest credit bubble in the history of the world. As liquidity dries up, we are finding out who has been swimming naked. Bear Stearns was among the first to be exposed, and makes a most suitable example for the metaphor, as the company was embarrassingly bare when it came to liquid assets.

The Coming Age of Austerity

Instead, we believe the market is headed for a period of austerity brought on by new regulatory requirements for increased transparency, accountability and frugality. We are entering a period of reduced expectations both economically and socially. Regulation will operate like a 55 mph speed limit on the economic highway, crimping profits in favor of a more stable economy. As a consumer society, we are not going to be immune from the Great Deleveraging, which is why Treasury Secretary Paulson is planning to allocate some of the Wall Street bailout money directly to Main Street.

As home prices fail to recover, a vast number of middle of the road retailers will go bankrupt, creating a more polarized consumer society than today, with Wal-Mart on one end of the barbell and Tiffany’s on the other. Municipalities will get leaner and public services we once took for granted will be more costly and less frequent or disappear altogether. Postage stamps, refuse collection fees, sales taxes and property taxes will become prohibitively expensive for some citizens. Renting will be preferable to property ownership in many municipalities, further depressing property values.

As the country turns inward to heal its wounds, an isolationist perspective will become dominant, reducing budgets for foreign aid and the military. A populist ethos will dominate the political scene, but credit will be hard to come by. Saving will become “cool,’ cash will be King and equities will be first disparaged and then shunned, as a sustained period of apathy overtakes Wall Street. Established social institutions, from private colleges to philanthropic foundations, will be challenged to survive and many will go extinct as funding dries up.

Unemployed brokers and bankers will enter law school in droves to partake in the Great Litigation process that devolves from the credit debacle, as company after company is held accountable for fraud, misrepresentation and fiduciary malfeasance. Standard & Poors will eventually be discredited and go bankrupt, taking McGraw Hill down with it, and the S&P 500 will be renamed to represent a new Standard for Wall Street. A new era of fixed-income investing will replace hedge-fund driven speculation. Funds will be rated on safety before historical gains are considered, as return of capital trumps return on capital.

And were we to speculate further on social changes, we see some interesting possibilities. For example…

Grass Roots Society

With growing stresses on entitlement programs, dispersed families may reaggregate, as children live with parents longer and grandparents are welcomed back into households as valued contributors to the familial security net. A new appreciation for more cost-effective, wellness and prevention-oriented natural medicine may become necessary to stem the rise of healthcare costs in an aging society.

Micro businesses may flourish as entrepreneurship is focused on local opportunities. Neighbors might know each other again, as a more grassroots economy reestablishes itself. Waste and conspicuous consumption may be less tolerable. Bicycles and scooters could replace cars in many cities, as speed limits are lowered to accommodate a more vulnerable and slower pace of life. Community gardens and farmer’s markets may become social hubs. We might see a greater sharing of local and personal resources rather than an emphasis on individual ownership, which would mirror the socialized institutional investments made by the government in various industries.

As our military is downsized and refocuses away from foreign interventions, soldiers might be deployed in dangerous neighborhoods to protect the citizenry and discourage organized street crime as neighborhoods rebuild. Meanwhile, drug dealing and prostitution might be decriminalized and licensed because the states simply cannot afford to prosecute and house so many criminals.

In Yield We Trust

On the investment horizon we imagine that global growth will resume at some point, but the epicenter will be located in nations other than our own. Fortunately, a 4G worldwide communication network will facilitate asset allocation to any market by any individual with an iPhone or a laptop anywhere on the planet 24/7. CDs denominated in foreign currencies will be commonplace, so individuals will be able to find safety and yield quite easily.

Governments and funds will compete globally on yield, generating massive capital flows from three billion small investors. Fees and commissions on most financial transactions will be nominal or waived entirely to facilitate the flow in a highly competitive environment where deposits and cash assets are highly prized.

For now, we have a rally in the market, as it bounces off the October lows. We once again recommend selling low-yield or non-yield stocks into the strength. We don’t know how long it will last or how far it will run, but we don’t think the bear market is over. Our forecast is for U.S. equity prices to be 40-50% lower in 12 months.

Weekly Publication by The Spear Report www.spearreport.com

Spear Report

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January 12th, 2011

Vision is the Name of the Game

 MARKETS & ECONOMY

Arindam Chaudhuri. professor at the Indian Institute of Planning and Management (IIPM), New Delhi, believes that economic stability depends on the “survival of the weakest.” He also heads Planman Consulting, an organisation which conducts open house workshops both within and without the country for top level company executives.

Arindam Chaudhari – In an Interview – Nothing Is more practical than a good theory”

Excerpts:

What kind of work does Planman Consultancy do?

Planman was started as an executive search four years ago. Gradually, we started conducting training workshops and now we hold workshops for CEOs and VPs as well. Workshops stress on people and help participants build a vision of the entire economy rather than short-term Individual benefits.

We have also initiated a programme for primary rural schools and health centres in West Bengal. Planman introduced the novel concept of newspaper stands in market places and at village wells, espe­cially for the women who come to fetch water. In fact, our expertise lies in social sector consulting.

Do consultancy firms serve a crucial purpose In the corporate world?

Management is basically about being logical. A consultancy firm can help in terms of training and upgradation. But if managers of a firm need someone from outside to understand their company then something is wrong with the firm’s system.

American firms often tell the big busi­ness houses to concentrate on their key areas and withdraw from other areas. But this makes companies prone to even small economic fluctuations. Consultancies first give corporates a com­plex and then capitalise on their insecuri­ty.

Are not consultancies creating busi­ness for Itself by constantly changing management theories and then con­ducting workshops to update everyone on the new idea?

Sometimes consultants do come up with downright siuy, theories. They, use. different words and .draw more circles on model charts to make it sound good. If our theories were good why Is our growth

‘There is a management mafia in our country’

Are. people at the.top willing to listen to what you have to say? Are they too used to their own ideas to change?
The people at the top, I have realized are open to new ideas. Sometimes, when I set aside an hour for discussion on the economy; the debate goes on and on they certainly want to know new things and ideas.

Are social causes and corporate prof­its connected?

If you want long term growth you cannot afford. The Industry cannot grow if it keeps the poor poor. Everyone has to have the purchasing power for the company to sell its products.

So you do not believe in the free mar­ket economy?

We should not imitate free market econ­omy blindly. We must know that the US is not propagating its economic model for philanthropic reason. They have ruined, unstable economy, which is dependent in other nations. They are just trying to do to us what Japan did to them. In this system, even media is controlled by business interest. A manager gets to read about Marilyn Monroe’s life-style, but not a sensible story on China’s success not a sensible story on China’s success minus the dictatorship. That’s the irony.

What should then be the nature of our economic model?
The hire and fire system may be accept able to the American psysche, but it is not suitable to the Indians. We should formulate something suitable to the Indians. We should formulate something suitable for our own psyche and economy. Japan did not follow the US. It has formulated it own system by relying on its own ethos and values, We must do the same.
When I talk about the leadership and motivation in my workshop I use the example of Krishna. He does not fit into the two can either be autocratic or democratic. He deals with different people in different ways.

Are our management schools producing good managers?

There is a management mafia in our country. MBAs from the top IIMs get salaries as high as Rs 6 Lakh per annum, to start with. If they are so good, why don’t our public sector companies worth hundereds of thousand of crores employs them and change? Why don’t we produce more MBAs  from the top four management  schools which have so many facilities and acres of land? They just use these facilities  to intimidiate the prospective employers and compel them to pay their students astronomical sums of money. These schools create and artificial scarcity and capitalize on it. They produce only 100 graduates. If the school do not limit the number of graduates their demand will come down and they will start getting Rs 1.2 lakh per annum, which is their actual worth.

Don’t you too employ MBAs?
There are about 44 people working with me. All of them are my own students from the institute. They just get a decent salary as mine is not a very profitable organization.

Kartik
http://www.articlesbase.com/education-articles/vision-is-the-name-of-the-game-680812.html

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January 10th, 2011

An Introduction to The Art of Seduction

The art of seduction is the art of getting what you want without fighting. In other words, in a successful seduction, the seducer gets everything he or she wants from the ‘victim’ willingly, to the point where the ‘victim’ goes out of their way to help the seducer get what he/she wants.

Of course, I am putting the word ‘victim’ in quotes because although the skillful seducer gets everything desired, the ‘victim’ doesn’t necessarily feel victimized. In fact, in a good successful seduction, the victim never feels pressure but gives out of their own desire to please the seducer.

One somewhat unknown fact about seduction is that it’s something created by women. Yes, the Don Juan’s of the world are known as the great ‘Seducers’ but they did not create the art of seduction.

As explained in “The Art of Seduction” by Robert Green, in past times it was more common for men to be merciless and as a result women became almost helpless. Yes, she could entice a man but once a man gets sex she loses her power. This was overcome by women such as “Bathsheba, from the Old Testament; Helen of Troy; the Chinese siren Hso Shi; and the greatest of them all Cleopatra”, who created seduction as a way to gain power.

In Cleopatra’s case, after she was thrown out by the pharaoh (her brother/husband, as was the tradition there, then) she showed up at a meeting of another conqueror rolled up in a rug. When the rug was unrolled she stood up in stunning cloths and makeup. Everyone was speechless. That night Julius Caesar became her lover.

Cleopatra continued to dazzle Julius Caesar with sensual and visual delights, becoming the male fantasy figure that is an underlying part of all male psychology (more about that later). In other words, having sex with her wasn’t enough, she created a desire to possess her. And when Caesar was most seeking her attention, she would withdraw and leave him wondering what he did wrong. Then he would strive to make things better thereby becoming more her slave everyday. She did reclaim her throne.

In the 17th century men appropriated women’s techniques of appearance, style and dramatics and combined it with “soft words”, which are a weak spot for women, to overcome their resistance to sex. This was an age when women had more freedom and choice. Many of these seducers were Spaniards from which the Don Juan legend sprung.

In our times women are treated less like property, giving them a sexual and political freedom that they haven’t had in an average of 4000 years (2000 yrs in Europe and 6000 yrs in the middle east -approx- matriarchies dominated before then). So of course previous tactics of getting a women, such as arranged marriages and as part of business or political deals has ceased to work. (At least, in the west).

This means that now more than ever, seduction has become a key method of gaining power, both sexual or social.

Can seduction skills help anyone? Yes. If you are not good looking, it simply doesn’t matter. You can still seduce successfully. Cleopatra was plain looking but her use of make up made her extraordinary, by being able to capture the male fantasy figure in her persona; which is nothing new, women know this today just as Neanderthal women knew about it in their time, and there is even evidence that the Neanderthals mined for red ochre to use as lipstick (yeah, that they were ‘savages’ may be a myth…the tradition of burying the dead and the domestication of the dog can also be traced to Neanderthals – for more read, Primitive Mythology By Joseph Campbell).

Gabriele D’Annunzio, was a journalist in the 1880′s in Roman society, who was so ugly that men didn’t care if he talked with their wives. But when he talked to women, some said it was like church bells, other said it was hypnotic, and still others claimed he would transform into the God Apollo. He knew just how to flatter a woman, suggesting sex and romance without necessarily doing anything, making their hearts flutter. He married the daughter of a Duchess and continued to grow is social and literary stature through the help of powerful women.

For women, for whom marriage was like slavery, found excitement and pleasure in the idea of a man who was totally absorbed in them and with whom they could let go of the huge social role of civility, commitment and loyalty that she is expected to maintain in society. At a lecture I attended, I actually heard a successful ‘intellectual’ claim, with complete assurance, that “chastity is a woman’s greatest virtue”, which underlines the role she is expected to play.

The seducer offers her a break from conventional reality and she is a willing victim. Just as a man is when faced with a ‘Marilyn Monroe’ like persona, who stimulates him in a way that is very powerful and effective.

Abbas Abedi
http://www.articlesbase.com/dating-articles/an-introduction-to-the-art-of-seduction-135677.html

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January 8th, 2011

Home Builders Give Housing Market a Boost

On a positive note in the housing market, 2009 opened with an increase in home sales for the month of December in most regions.

Sales by region included:

- Midwest: increased by 4.0 percent

- South: increased 7.4 percent

- West: increased 13.6 percent

- Northeast: reduced by 1.4 percent

The gains are attributed to the decrease in median home prices and the favorable interest rates. In an effort to maintain this positive momentum, certain builders have advertised record low mortgage rates in the hopes of stimulating the housing market even more.

Centex Corporation is offering 3.5 percent for the first two years, and then a lock in rate at 4.5 percent beginning in the third year. Customers require a 3.5 percent downpayment and credit rating must meet Federal Housing Administration standards.

As quoted in the Wall Street Journal by Robert S. Stewart, senior vice president at Centex Corp., “Lower interest rates have a powerful impact on affordability and we know affordability is the key to selling homes,”

Probably the biggest blockbuster was a recent announcement by Toll Brothers offering a 3.99 percent fixed mortgage for 30 years with no points. Loans must be for $417,000 or lower, customers must have a credit score of 720 or higher, and a minimum downpayment of 20 percent (with no PMI).

Currently 30 year fixed rates are running about $4.96 percent – this deal is huge. It’s not just the low interest rate that makes this offer so appealing. This is not your average teaser rate that opens with a low rate, only to increase in a few years. This is a 30-year fixed rate that is lower than any adjustable rate mortgage out there. Typically, buyers pay a premium on fixed rates, and the longer the term, the higher the premium. Could we be seeing a real change in the way mortgage companies do business?

So far there has been no word on the response Toll Brothers is receiving, or whether any of the other major builders are jumping on the bandwagon to offer similar deals.

Jerry Howard, chief executive of the National Association of Home Builders has an even more aggressive approach. His formula to stimulate the housing industry involves a government funded program for new homebuyers that includes lowering interest mortgage rates to 2.9 percent, and expanding the homebuyer tax credit. He believes this incentive combination could wipe out the excess inventory of unsold houses in less than12 months.

Tina Fountain
http://www.articlesbase.com/real-estate-articles/home-builders-give-housing-market-a-boost-742679.html

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January 7th, 2011

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland Cavaliers

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Jamaal Al-Din
http://www.articlesbase.com/basketball-articles/cleveland-cavaliers-678317.html

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January 6th, 2011

Introduction to Sociology

INTRODUCTION TO SOCIOLOGY

Human is a social being and thus cannot thrive single. With this, several issues of relations and conduct show up that require special attention for smooth ride towards a dignified society. This led to the birth of an altogether new discipline termed as Sociology.

In a nutshell, Sociology basically studies human society as an interconnected whole. But here, it may be noted that an unauthentic study is not sociology, on the other hand, it is a science which demands certain rules in its observation and analysis. One of its tasks is to unravel the connection between a personal problem and a public issue.

RELATION BETWEEN PERSONAL PROBLEM AND THE PUBLIC ISSUE

It is not hard to notice how a poverty-stricken family as a whole contributes greatly to the assessment of the social structure. A homeless couple in a society has raised homelessness as a public issue which led to the operationalization of the Indira Awas Yojana from 1999-2000.

Thus, activities and troubles occurring within the character of the individual and within the range of his immediate relations with others may transcend the boundary of local environments and reach out to influence the society.

But it is interesting to note that how a society as well greatly determines the personal status of an individual. When a society is industrialized, a peasant becomes a worker; a feudal lord is liquidated or becomes a businessman. When economy goes down, people go broke and at times of war, common man is made to hold arms, a wife lives alone and a child grows up without a father.

PLURALITIES AND INEQUALITIES AMONG SOCIETIES

Society is a simple yet complex network of human life. In the course of development of civilization, we have created an intricate pattern of societies which makes a person belong to more than one society. For instance, in foreign countries, an individual is regarded as an associate of the Indian Society whereas the same person, when in India, is recognized by either linguistic or ethnic community or a religious or caste or tribal society. This diversity makes it difficult to understand which ‘society’ we are referring to.

In a country, some are rich and most are not, likewise some are well educated and others are illiterate, some have great opportunities for advancement in life and others lack them altogether. So, the differences in a society are further accentuated by inequalities.

SOCIOLOGY AND COMMON SENSE KNOWLEDGE

Common sense explanations are generally based on what may be called naturalistic and/or individualistic explanation. Common sense unlike sociology is indubitable. While common sense is basically an individualistic sense of perception, sociology has a far broader aspect. Sociology is both systematic and questionable.

IDEAS THAT WENT INTO THE MAKING OF SOCIOLOGY

Influenced by scientific theories of natural evolution and findings about pre-modern societies made by early travelers, colonial administrators, sociologists and anthropologists sought to categorize societies into types and to distinguish stages in social development.

Darwin’s observation of association of the living organisms reflected how sociology studies empirical reality. The Enlightenment, a European intellectual movement of the late 17th and 18th centuries, became another factor which pushed the need of sociology.

The French scholar Auguste Comte (1789-1857) considered to be founder of sociology and other sociologists like Karl Marx and Herbert Spencer played significant role in evolution of sociology.

Economic activities also contributed to the making of sociology and gave it an altogether new context. Capitalism, with markets as key instrument of productive life, totally changed the economic scenario of England. Hence, England was the centre of the Industrial Revolution. The after effects of this were change of occupations, migrations etc.

Undoubtedly, this economic revolution successfully brought about noticeable and constructive changes to the society as the living standards rose.

Situations took drastic turn between 17th and 19th century, when an estimated 24 million Africans were enslaved. In the 1800s, a large number of Indian labourers were transported to far-off places like Surinam in South America or in the West Indies or the Fiji Islands, for running commercial crop plantations.

Consequently, uneven transformations of societies were witnessed.

GROWTH OF SOCIOLOGY IN INDIA

Colonialism was an essential part of modern capitalism and industrialization. The writings of western sociologists held a view, different from the exact truth but still helped a lot in understanding the social transition in India.

In western world, sociology and sociology anthropology were considered separate disciplines. According to a standard western textbook, sociology is regarded as “the study of human groups and societies, giving particular emphasis to the analysis of the industrialized world”. On the other hand, social anthropology is interpreted as “the study of simple societies of non-western and therefore “other cultures”.

Clearly, this distinction would fail, when applied in India, as ours is a country with a vast diversity of religious, linguistic, regional, ethnic etc. and also rural and urban. So, sociology and social anthropology were merged for an easier and broader prospect.

THE SCOPE OF SOCIOLOGY AND ITS RELATIONSHIP TO OTHER SOCIAL SCIENCE DISCIPLINES

The scope of sociological study is extremely wide ranging from downtrodden to the billionaires.

Sociology is a part of a group of social sciences, which also includes anthropology, economics, political science and history. These are inter-related to each other. For instance how would a political scientist or economist study gender roles and their implications for politics or the economy without sociology of the family or gender division of labour.

SOCIOLOGY AND ECONOMICS

Economics is basically the study of production and distribution of goods and services. The conventional economics focuses strictly on the exact terms, whereas socio-economic approach analyses on their interdependence and as well as each entity, separately. This consists of observation of economic behavior in the context of social norms, values, practices and interests.

For example, the large investment in the advertisement industry is aimed at reshaping lifestyles and consumption patterns.

Despite the inter-relation, sociology does not provide technical solutions unlike economics. In short, the former is figurative while the latter is literal.

SOCIOLOGY AND POLITICAL SCIENCE

The classical political science concentrates on two elements: political theory and government administration. The theory part mainly deals with the ideas about of government from Plato to Marx whiles administration provides the formal structure of government rather than its actual operation.

Political science is based on concrete facts of functioning of the organizations whereas sociology researches the areas of impact of it. Sociology assesses the inter-relations of the institutions in the country.

Nevertheless, recent Indian elections have seen the active indulgence of both. Studies have also been conducted in membership of political organizations, process of decision-making in organizations, sociological reasons for support of political parties, the role of gender in politics etc.

SOCIOLOGY AND HISTORY

History is a subject of facts occurred in the past. This is chiefly an anthology of the history of kings and war. Social history studies the evolution of society from very early times. It looks at social patterns, gender relations, and customs other than the acts of rulers, wars and monarchy.

SOCIAL AND PSYCHOLOGY

Social is often defined as the science of behavior. Social psychology, which serves as a bridge between psychology and sociology, maintains a primary interest in the individual but concerns itself with the way in which the individual behaves in social groups, collectively with other individuals.

SOCIAL AND SOCIAL ANTHROPOLOGY

Sociology is deemed to be the study of modern, complex societies while social anthropology was deemed to be study of simple societies. The prominent differences have already been underscored in the previous paragraphs.

But it is being feared that with the decline of simple societies, social anthropology would lose its specificity and merge with sociology. However, there have been fruitful interchanges between the two disciplines and today often methods and techniques are drawn from both.

CONCLUSION

In today’s world, complex societies exist everywhere. To comprehend this, requires a systematic and analytical approach, there comes the role of sociology.

Integra Wingates Hellsing
http://www.articlesbase.com/online-education-articles/introduction-to-sociology-749783.html

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December 21st, 2010

Chinese Negotiation 101

Will your negotiation skills back home equip you for negotiating in China? Well they’re important, but they’re not quite enough. You’ll also need a good grasp of the cultural differences or you’ll be mystified by unexpected responses and they’ll run circles around you. So here are a few key principles for negotiating in the land of the dragon.

1. Be Objective

Many stories about China are exaggerated, one way or the other. We’ve heard of fabulous deals, providing goods and services at a fraction of local costs. We’ve heard of toxic Chinese products and business tycoons who will cheat you at the drop of a hat. But China is neither black nor white, and a successful business person needs to strip away the political agendas that get in the way of sound business decisions.

We should also be wary of snap judgments by people who bail out impatiently with accusations of rampant deception and contracts never honoured. Certainly we should heed all warnings of danger, and be constantly on our guard. But we must seek a realistic view, neither wearing rose-coloured glasses nor seeing treachery in every misunderstanding.

It’s important to be realistic regarding issues of honesty. As in any country, there is no shortage of scoundrels in China. Neither is there a shortage of good and respectable citizens at all levels striving to meet high standards. Nothing unusual about that. But cultural differences make it easy to misinterpret strategic manoeuvres on their part. We may see it as outright deception when – in their own view of proper behaviour – they are acting honourably but cleverly. And they may see our own clever manoeuvres as questionable behaviour within their ethical system. The point is not to judge each other and kill the deal, but to find that common ground which produces a good contract for both parties. That requires us to find a delicate balance between giving our opponents the benefit of the doubt when we fail to fathom the purpose of their actions, and avoiding the risk that someone will take advantage of our trust.

We need to be careful about old advice. Any economy, in the years before it gets properly regulated, has a lot of leeway, and plenty of opportunities for unscrupulous dealers to rip you off. So consultants used to give sound advice to clients – watch out for treachery and dishonesty. Serious caution is still good advice, but times are changing at an amazing pace. The Chinese have aspirations of becoming world economic leaders, and they fully recognize the need for strict professionalism and integrity to meet their goals. It’s not much of a stretch, since there’s no lack of professional pride in Chinese history. You’ll find that your major cautionary task in this century, apart from normal vigilance, is to identify the modern high-quality firms and separate them from the rogue elements. At the same time, the Chinese economy is still in flux, and there are still enough bandits out there to warrant serious caution.

2. Ease In Carefully

Think you can leap in, sign a great deal, and move on? Not likely. You need to get the feel of negotiating in China. You have to get to know your partners, to determine who can be trusted and where you need to be careful. You need to make your first mistakes on low-value and low-priority deals. This can be good advice in any case, but it’s especially important if you don’t have much experience in the treacherous waters of inter-cultural negotiations. Try out a couple of low-risk transactions before plunging into the deep end.

You need to rein in your western tendency to jump in, cut to the chase, and score a deal cleanly and quickly. The Chinese don’t quite work that way. Nonetheless, they’ve learned how to deal with we cowboys with money to burn, barging in to do serious business on the spot. We’ll get the runaround, as befitting someone who isn’t serious enough to develop a trusting relationship first. In their view – some barbarian who won’t take the time to build relationships deserves to be outfoxed.

At the same time, this isn’t universally the case. If you’re dealing in Beijing or Shanghai or any other highly developed centre, they’re more familiar with western styles of business. In fact, they’re quite sophisticated. They’re a little more willing to play the game your way, and make some compromises to western impatience in order to move the process along efficiently. In the less developed regions, they’re often a little more steeped in traditional Chinese ways. But they both know how to deal with your eagerness and get what they want. In either case, learn the culture first, and take your time.

3. Work with the Right People

Here’s where a good knowledge of Chinese relationship structures is important. Certain people are authorized to make a deal, while others are only intermediaries – and you may not find them in familiar positions. In your first set of meetings, perhaps even for a long time, you may be dealing only with the intermediaries. They won’t tell you that at the start, and you’ll be frustrated when you find out that nobody has the authority to cut a deal. This may be offensive in the west, but it’s proper protocol in the east. You’ll probably be escorted to several meetings and banquets, and the key officials will be present at some of them, but you won’t really know who’s who until late in the game. This is where you need your diplomatic skills, to show your respect for Chinese traditional ways at the same time as you badger them to get the proper authorities at the table.

Actually, the intermediaries do have considerable importance. They’re there to do the grunt work of finding out what’s possible, and to iron out the initial proposals, so that their superiors need only deal with the final decisions. So treat them with respect, or you’ll never get to see the key players. At the same time, be careful to determine if they really are properly connected to do the job. You may end up with some peripheral agent – who cites great experience in dealing with western business, but who really has little stature – because they want to feel you out before they have to deal with you directly. Beware if they send you a westerner who is really little more than an English teacher with grand aspirations. They don’t trust him any more than you do, but he’ll keep you at bay until they’re ready to move.

Check references, making sure they’re all in the same industry. Make the call to confirm. Be a detective, with an interpreter if necessary. Ask about track record. Did they meet deadlines? Did they understand the meaning of a completed job? In any environment of economic development, expect incompetence to be common, and search for the competent ones. Incompetence and inexperience are just as much trouble as dishonesty. Avoid firms dealing with westerners for the first time – they’ll be out to establish their cleverness by taking you for a ride. Your best bet is a western-invested company with western executives at the highest levels. Check out everything.

4. Seek Clarity

A good western negotiator, with any sense of strategy, will not offer his opponent a clear picture of his ultimate goals or what compromises he will accept. Chinese intermediaries have an even greater incentive to disguise their specific objectives and, in fact, to keep shifting them as the negotiation proceeds. They don’t feel obligated to adhere to their proposals from session to session, since they’re not the deciders. They don’t think it’s beneficial for either party if they stick rigidly to some “deal” they made with you yesterday. That would be viewed as irresponsible, since only the higher authority is entitled to make final decisions. They don’t delegate authority as readily as we do. Don’t expect to sign off some clause and then move on to the next, secure that the clause has been finalized, as you would back home. It doesn’t work that way. Intermediate deals are flexible, and can be sacrificed unilaterally in the end game. Since everything is tentative until the final act, they may be quite evasive in the early stages. Or they may overstate a verbal agreement due to difficulties in understanding our language and our culture. So during these intermediate stages, you may have to fight tooth and nail for clarity.

But don’t just treat it as fighting the culture, or trying to educate them in the straightforward ways of the west. The Chinese are indirect and group-oriented in ways that serve them well, even in business. They are rooted in a pre-market family-oriented culture, in which social harmony is maintained through a gentle style of communication – where individuals are not assaulted too directly with brutal facts. It’s a communication style that comes into sharp conflict with our blunt and unfeeling western directness. The Chinese view their communication style as the essence of civilization, as distinct from us barbarians, and they will not abandon it easily. So don’t just dismiss them – “The Chinese don’t do clarity”. Learn the language of indirect communication, and you will elicit much greater cooperation in finding what you need to know. Learn the trick of assertive indirectness.

5. Bargain Strategically

To begin with, get control of the agenda. They may use their position as host to load you down with meetings and banquets, especially if they are old school – though in the modern centres they’re more inclined to get straight down to business. Still, if you’re spending the money, you’re in charge. Determine if the meeting or banquet is important, if the officials you’re meeting are really relevant to the discussion, or whether they are just window dressing to show off their connections and keep you tied to their agenda. You have to find a balance between receiving their hospitality graciously and getting down to business. Overall it’s a polite power struggle right from the start, and you need to make it clear you want to negotiate the agenda. At the same time, remember that they want to deal with you and keep you away from their competitors, so leave the exit door open a little in case they’re too inflexible. If you come in wide-eyed about making a China deal, you’ll end up playing their game. Have a Plan B – an alternate source of supply will boost your confidence enormously.

Many western advisors will tell you to expect deception in China, but it’s often just a different vision of what’s legitimate and honourable in the competitive arena. It’s only deception if the other party expects something different. That doesn’t help you much. If you don’t know the culture well, it’s going to be deceptive in your eyes. So it’s safer to follow the rule: expect deception. But don’t express disrespect unless you catch them blatantly cheating or lying – and give them the benefit of the moral doubt if they’re just backtracking because they got into trouble. It’s a delicate game. Protect yourself without being offensive.

It’s important not to automatically accept any claims at face value, without good reason. Are they really an old established company with a healthy market valuation, a strong market share, exclusive rights and patents, all the proper certifications, and plenty of orders from Europe? Better check these things out, since their definitions may be different from yours. Is the new plant they’re preparing to build really going to bring dramatic improvement in quality and costs? You’re putting up the money, so you should be allowed to see the books, though sometimes their claims of inadequate bookkeeping may be valid. You may need help here, since legitimate Chinese accounting practices are different from ours, and in some ways hard to fathom. And finally, don’t accept the claim that they have the powerful connections that will make everything work out just fine in the end, because you have no way whatsoever of checking that out. Perhaps at this point they will throw the trust argument at you, claiming that your doubts are undermining a valued relationship. Don’t fall for it.

If you’re not picky, you’ll leave holes they can drive a truck through. “Best effort” sales agreements are not enough. Get the details on their marketing network. Cash in advance is dangerous, no matter how much they throw the trust argument at you. Present it as a strict matter of policy, and point out safer payment vehicles which are readily available. If they can’t get a bank to cooperate on a letter of credit, run for the hills. If you’re a buyer, insist on a test order. They will talk about not doing test orders because they’re building long-term relationships, but don’t buy that argument. Chinese firms will do test orders when pressed. Look behind the facade to see if there’s real brick and mortar and infrastructure in place. And remember that, if a firm is not very cooperative before the money has been transferred, they’ll probably be even less cooperative afterwards. So get everything you can firmed up in advance, even if it threatens to sour the deal. The politeness and respect that you demonstrated from the beginning of the process will serve you well when you have to hold the line at the end.

Even when you reach an agreement, you’ll find that many more things than you thought were unclear, or interpreted differently. Be prepared to renegotiate often, and get their agreement on a renegotiation process before you sign.

6. Learn the Price Game

In a country where they bargain for apples on the street, they’re not shy about bargaining, and they bargain hard. Don’t be put off by an outrageous initial price. It’s all part of the game. Whether or not they move to a reasonable price in short order is a clear indication of whether or not they’re ready to bargain seriously. Let the opening moves play out. With apples on the street, some will overcharge a foreigner just on principle, as well as to defend their national pride and to save face. So keep a clear eye on your own range of acceptable prices, and stick to it rigorously.

If you’re putting up the money, don’t let them talk you into quoting the first price. The first move should be theirs, though exceptions may be allowed if you already have a good relationship with them through past dealings. Present it as your firm’s policy, and refer to proper procedures. It’s a game of polite assertiveness, and this may be the opening power struggle. Insist they provide figures to back up their price, and eventually settle for just a first price offer. But keep up the demand for backup data as the price discussion progresses. Don’t let them win this opening round, or they’ll have the upper hand.

Be prepared to deal with an outrageous price, which will be especially outrageous if they’ve lost the battle over the first offer. Match an outrageous price with a fairly-outrageous counter, because they may only inch their way down and you need room to manoeuvre. Be prepared to walk if their moves are only tokens. Do your homework, and know the market, so that you can confidently hold the line until they bring it into the ballpark. Then the real bargaining begins.

Don’t accept a high price on a promise that they’ll lower the price in the near future,

“when we get the new technology online”,

“when we move to the new facility”,

“when we develop the new product”,

“when we hire the new engineer”,

“when we get approval from the government’,

“when we finish the merger”.

Maybe they’re sincere. But maybe they’re wishful thinking. Hold out for the price you need. Cut them off quickly. “Not a chance. We don’t do speculation. We need to work with real prices right off the bat.”

And you may have to leave your fancy management theory behind. It’s quite fashionable in the west to seek win-win solutions. But China’s a developing country, not long out of poverty, in a brutal marketplace. They’re quite accustomed to win-lose, and they’re quite happy to win. But again, you’ll find them somewhat more refined in the major centres.

7. Pay Attention to the Non-price Issues

Many traders will tell you that Chinese are motivated by price alone. They will attach little importance to issues of quality or delivery or service, assuming these are secondary issues that can be put aside. That view of Chinese negotiators is someone outdated. A narrow price orientation is not as prevalent as it used to be, but you will still run into it often enough, and you may need to insist that the price is contingent on the whole package. Insist that the price agreement will be void if certain conditions are not met. Price cannot be negotiated in isolation. Some may try to brush that off, figuring that you won’t push it. Push it. Be picky. Insist on engineering specs on the useful life of the product. Have them explain their quality control procedures, and their warrantee policy. Get a precise definition of how satisfactory performance is specified, and what constitutes a completed project.

8. Understand Networking and Contracts

This is a tough one. Networking isn’t the same in China. It’s a much deeper and more complex phenomenon, with implications that we westerners cannot easily fathom. The potential for misunderstanding is enormous.

It can be simplied a little. Think again of a pre-market society. How would a pre-market society organize themselves without benefit of the marketplace? They organize themselves into trusted circles of family and friends, and they exchange favours. The rules are strict – if someone offers you a favour, you owe an equal favour in return. These circles overlap and interconnect into complex networks. Over time some of these circles become more important than others, and if you find yourself linked into an important circle, you have “connections”. The Chinese call it “guanxi” (pronounced gwan-shee), and there are two main rules as far as you’re concerned. One, any favour or gift is a debt which must be repaid in full measure, or more if the giver belongs to a more important circle. And two, people with the right guanxi can accomplish anything for you, but it won’t be free. And it’s not guaranteed. Do him a favour and he will owe you something. But don’t count on him to spend his guanxi capital to repay you.

Connected with that is an attitude toward contracts. The guanxi circle is a relationship of trust among colleagues. To overstate the argument a little – it’s a western aberration to demand that all relationships be reduced to an impersonal rats-nest of contracts, as if no one can be trusted. For civilized people, your word is your bond. While in the modern Chinese business centres they’ve come to appreciate the value of a contract, and will even initiate it, there are still some who will try to convince you to make a commitment (and transfer your money) without one. They may play the trust card, so know how to deal with it.

Recognize that a westerner like you will never become a full member of any Chinese guanxi circle. You will always be an outsider, and a second-class citizen, with no rights and no recourse. “My guanxi is your guanxi – don’t worry, I can get it for you” is not in the slightest degree a commitment you can take to the bank. You need it explicitly detailed in black and white, no matter how much that may brand you as a western barbarian. But I hasten to repeat that, the more progressive Chinese managers are on the same page as you and I, fully appreciating the need for a water-tight contract. Those are the ones you should look for. But if you’re in a more traditional centre, you may have to fight for it.

9. Understand Indirectness and Face

China is a relationship based society, developed long before the market turned our European ancestors into disjointed individuals competing with each other in the marketplace. Again to overstate for the sake of argument – we have no need for relationships. Market contracts regulate our lives and how we interact with each other. But for the Chinese, relationships are everything.

So how have the Chinese kept it all functioning smoothly? We have civil order based on a system of contract law to keep us in line. How have they kept people in line for thousands of years without that? They have established a mature and stable hierarchy of status relationships, and they maintain certain strict norms of behaviour. Chief amongst these behavioral norms, essential for maintaining order in a relationship-based society, are the following two. First, never provoke a confrontation by issuing direct challenges to others – which results in the famous Chinese indirectness. Second, never undermine someone’s status in society by causing them to lose face. Understand how these rules lies at the root of the Chinese psyche, if you want to understand their reaction to our western brutishness.

So don’t wonder why sometimes they seem to be running around in circles, and never seeming to get to the point. Bluntness is insensitive and uncivilized. A way must be found to press the point gently. You’re just not understanding the language of indirectness. And don’t wonder why they seem so concerned about losing face. Humiliating others is insensitive and uncivilized. Actually they are insensitive and uncivilized, when you come to think of it. In the midst of a frustrating negotiation session, take a moment to look at it from their point of view. Then look for a way out of the impasse which will not put them on the defensive, and which will grant them face. In fact, face-giving is the key to success. Find ways to make them happy, and they’ll make you happy.

10. Play the Game, but Cleanly

China has a sophisticated set of laws. She’s come into the market only recently, but she’s done a remarkable job of setting up a legal framework for commerce in such a short time. However, there’s a Chinese way of doing everything, reflected in those laws and regulations, and you would do well to learn to play the game. At the same time, China still has a long way to go, and not everything is fully covered by laws and procedures. There’s a lot of leeway everywhere, in the gap between the socialist regulation of society and the law of the market.

Corruption ranges from black to shades of grey. There are many kinds of activities which anyone, east or west, would call corruption. And China’s come a long way in routing out real corruption in the major centres. At the same time, there are many activities which fall into a grey area – they’re not strictly illegal but not quite legitimate. Or the paperwork is lax, and nobody really knows what’s going on. How do we deal with those?

It’s often not so simple. The guanxi system runs by different rules, and it may be unclear what’s legitimate and what’s not – in their terms. What do we do when something is perfectly legitimate and honourable in Chinese eyes, but outright corruption in ours? After all, exchanging money for various considerations among in-groups is the essence of sound relationship economics, but we tend to view it in a market context as unethical. Do we call it corruption? Here’s where we have to find a balance. Don’t insult your adversaries by denouncing every favour that facilitates a transaction. But don’t agree to anything illegal or clearly unethical. You’ll have lot’s of company. In modern Chinese society, there is a strong sentiment for rooting out corruption.

It’s hard to know the prevalence of corruption. The government is probably correct to say that their anti-corruption campaigns have been effective, and there’s a critical mass of influential people who pride themselves on clean practice. In that view, widespread corruption is old news, and you may well get caught. But there are also people in many places who still credibly claim they can’t do a day’s business without passing the red envelope under the table, and you just have to play along if you want to get anywhere.

So you’ll have to play it by ear. Your general stance should be that you refuse to pay bribes. You run a clean ship with a clear set of transparent practices, and you want to keep it that way. At the same time, you may feel some need to look the other way when discretion dictates. But if you find yourself in a situation where bribes and kickbacks are the only game in town, you’ll have to make your own decision whether to hold your nose or bail out.

11. Do Your Due Diligence

Any economy like China, rapidly pulling out of underdevelopment, is going to be a contradiction containing many advanced firms with high standards alongside a significant still-backwards sector. So your primary due-diligence task is to sort them out. If you deal with a firm which is still trying to remain back in the lawless days, not only will you be propping up regressive forces, but you’ll get ripped off. And you may get in trouble with the authorities. In recent years, Chinese authorities have been pretty effective in using enhanced enforcement and professional peer pressure to shift the centre of gravity toward ethical practices in the major centres. If you’re working in the less developed areas, you’d better be on your guard.

In either case, you need to check their references rigorously. Conditions vary in China, and that dictates process. As a still-developing country, you can still expect to find many firms functioning at low levels with low standards. The days of poor quality, deadlines not honoured, work not finished, inappropriate substitutions, financial rip-offs, etc. are still alive in some quarters. It’s true enough that the famous Chinese national pride is impelling them to develop higher standards and join the world community of top-level professionalism. So don’t underestimate them, or the rapidity of their progress. Just don’t get caught with a dud.

Of course there is the matter of the language and culture gap, which is why you need to work with knowledgeable consultants. But these consultants themselves will vary in quality, so there’s the first item for strict reference checking. Who have they worked for? Contact past clients and ask how satisfied they’ve been. These are probably people who speak English, so you can readily get a useful reference. Stick to professional references, not just friends and colleagues, and look for a track record of successful international deals.

When checking out Chinese firms, specialize in naive questions and keep asking until you’re satisfied. Don’t let them deflect you with embarrassment. There’s no such thing as a stupid question, and there’s no shame in questioning repeatedly until you understand. Persistence may be effective in breaking through a runaround, and it’s helpful if you know how to use indirect language in a passive-aggressive manner. But you’ll do best when you can deal with the higher-quality firms that will be straight with you and won’t give you the runaround in the first place.

Got this all down? Done your homework? You’re ready to meet. Good luck.

Dr. Gary Russell
http://www.articlesbase.com/negotiation-articles/chinese-negotiation-101-382938.html

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December 17th, 2010

Where to Find Great Commercial Real Estate Deals

Commercial real estate is a hot commodity right now. Many investors are seeing the massive potential for income associated with this type of property. It is not always clear, however, what type of commercial real estate to invest in or what part of the country to choose. With a little research, you can find the perfect location to purchase.

Columbus, Ohio is a great location for commercial real estate. Columbus is the capital city of Ohio and also one of the fastest growing. All over Columbus, new businesses are popping up and with them the need for commercial spaces. There are several notable commercial real estate companies working in the Columbus area to help people find the perfect space for them.

Another great area is Greensboro, NC. It is a growing community with great historical roots. It was once known as the Frontier Town for those looking to go west. With it’s temperate climate and friendly southern atmosphere, Greensboro is a town that attracts people from all walks of life. There are also many great commercial real estate companies, such as Kotis Properties, to help clients find their dream location. And with the attractive cost of living compared to many other parts of the country, this area will continue to flourish.

Austin, Texas also is a good investment for those interested in commercial real estate. Austin is a hot spot for families and singles. There is a growing economy and a great location. This makes Austin a good investment commercially. There are many good real estate companies in Austin. The Austin based COMMREX is one of the top commercial real estate firms. There are also some major national companies headquartered in and around Austin.

Los Angeles is one of the greatest markets for commercial real estate investors. Although it is one of the most expensive, the property values are ever increasing. Owning property in LA is like having money in the bank. There are significant advantages to owning in LA. One of the great tax benefits is that if you sell your home, you can take a profit exemption as long as you live in your commercial property for at least two of the five years following the sale of your property. This, along with the potential for income, is a great drawing card for LA commercial real estate.

Commercial real estate is a great investment. It appreciates significantly year over year, so the resale is excellent. If you decide not to sell or use it yourself, you can lease it and gather continuous income. Whether you use a firm in person or over the internet, be sure to do some research about the area first. When purchasing property, look for location. This is truly the key to finding the perfect commercial real estate investment.

Jon Arnold
http://www.articlesbase.com/finance-articles/where-to-find-great-commercial-real-estate-deals-73646.html

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